Despite poor performances at Major League level, the future of the Baltimore Orioles is very bright
With Hiking free graduated from potential rankings, the Baltimore Orioles has now passed the Tampa Bay Rays for the top spot in FanGraphs live rankings of farm systems. Going up based on an elimination process may not be as exciting as adding new prospects, but the ranking shows that Orioles has a great chance to fight in the next few years.
Unlike other prospect sites that prioritize depth as well as top prospects, FanGraphs places extra emphasis on the highest ranked players. The site uses future value measurements, which give players a number on the 20-80 scout scale as a shorthand for how much they are expected to produce during the team control years. Franco, who is expected to become a superstar, had a future value of 80, the highest possible. The lowest players who make prospect lists are a total of 35 or 35+.
Former author Craig Edwards, who is now working with the Players Association, found out just about how much each future value level is worth to MLB front offices. Intuitively having only one or two potential prize winners in a given farm system is worth more than a whole bunch of potential bench players. According to this model, Franco’s value of 80 degrees is worth 180 million dollars, which increased the Rays system 158 million dollars over any other system. Now that he and some of their other prospects have graduated, Orioles has baseball’s most valuable farm system.
Adley rutschman is now Consensus # 1 overall prospect and is the only player across all 30 Minor League systems with a future value of 70. According to Edwards, a 70-class player is worth $ 112 million, so Rutschman takes up a large portion of the Orioles a total of $ 374 million among all potential customers.
If having the best prospect was not good enough, the Os have a strong competitor for baseball’s best pitching prospect in Grayson rodriguez also. Rodriguez is one of only two pitchers in the 60-class FV team, and he will soon be the only one as a Detroit Tigers pitcher Matt Manning is currently in the Majors and will graduate this season.
Due to these high ceilings, Orioles has a clear chance to be competitive in the near future. Together with the other top 100 prospects in DL Hall, Colton cowser, Heston Kjerstad, and Gunnar henderson, Orioles has a very real core to get excited about.