Congratulations, we came for the weekend. Our reward is a loaded MLB slate with each team in action, and two double headers in print as well. I’m in the mood to fade away some unique jugs today, which is always fun. With this in mind, here are my favorite MLB games to consider on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Your favorite show, “Fade The Cubs”, is back with a new episode! Yes, I sound like a broken record at this point, but the Cubs can’t beat a lick, and anytime they a) face a semi-decent pitcher and b) throw away one of their awful starters, they must fade. One of the guys is Trevor Williams, who was beaten in five races against the Pirates last time, and proved that his fine Cubs debut was nothing more than a result of facing a bad lineup. Williams has been a constant disappointment, rocking 6.30 FIP last season, and can not be trusted.
On the other side of the coin, we have this bad Cubs series, which is last in the league with a 46 wRC + against right-handers, against Huascar Ynoa, who throws absolute gas and only knocked out 10 in victory over Marlins last out. He has allowed only one race this season and has produced many turns and losses, ranked in the 82nd percentile in piff. That’s the key to a cheerful team like Chicago.
I felt like a disappointed father watching both of these teams struggle so much on the plate Friday night in what ended up being a pretty crooked pitching matchup. The bats did nothing to earn such a high total today, and frankly, Casey Mize has not done so either. What did this guy ever do? He was the top choice in the 2018 draft and had some bad starts last year. Do you know what other highly spied jugs have worn the first few seasons? Almost all of them. We have learned with the likes of Lucas Giolito and Trevor Bauer not to write off pitchers just because of early matches.
Anyway, Mize has looked much better this season, limiting hard contact to a 37.5% hard hit rate, giving up just one barrel in two starts, which is impressive considering how the balls flew off the bat against him last year and given that these starts were against the Astros and Twins.
The Tigers, on the other hand, died last time with a 51 wRC + left this year, and Cole Irvin definitely impressed me against the Astros. With a rested bull behind them, the A’s should not have to worry too much about the tigers.
Jose Quintana has been a not good, very bad pitcher for a few years now, but no one wanted to admit it. This season, however, things have really gone south for the left wing. He has gone over 20% of the batteries he has encountered, and has given up an unsightly one. 364 xwOBA. Matt Shoemaker has not exactly been good either, but at least he has commanded the zone and has only gone one hit this season. The twins have 110 wRC + against leftists and should look up enough at Quintana that it doesn’t really matter what Shoemaker does, but I don’t think he will do too badly; he has kept the twins in play this year.
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I’m a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jetsfan196), and I can sometimes play on my personal account in the games I advise. Although I have expressed my personal views on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the views (es) of DraftKings, and I may also distribute other games and strategies than those I recommend above. I am not employed by DraftKings and do not have access to non-public information.